Originally published on the DeskBot blog. Most traders spend their time on the question "should I take this trade?" and very little on the question that decides whether a good idea survives a bad week
I'm Joshua, solo maker of DeskBot Multi15 — a Mac/Windows desktop app that automates Kalshi desk workflows locally, using the trader's own API key. Keys stay on your machine. What it is Local automat
Originally published on the DeskBot blog. A Kalshi price is a probability written in cents. A Yes contract at 70¢ means the market, at that moment, is pricing the Yes outcome at roughly a 70% chance.
Settled markets, fees, ask-side fills, forward tests and the five ways backtests lie